Cross-country evidence on the relation between equity prices and the current account

Forschungsbereich: Macroeconomics
Forscher: Tim Oliver Berg
Datum: 1.1.2009

This paper explores the relationship between equity prices and the current account for 17 industrialized countries in the period 1980-2007. Based on a panel vector autoregression, I compare the effects of equity price shocks to those originating from monetary policy and exchange rates. While monetary policy shocks have a limited impact, shocks to equity prices have sizeable effects. The results suggest that equity prices impact on the current account through their effects on real activity and exchange rates. Furthermore, shocks to exchange rates play a key role as well.

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